Jasmine Paolini vs Cori Gauff Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance over the past six months shows Paolini holding an advantage, winning 44.12% of second serve points compared to Gauff’s 37.66%.
• In return games, Gauff holds a slight edge with 51.81% of opponent's second serve points won, while Paolini trails with 48.34%.
• For first serve returns, Paolini surpasses Gauff, achieving 34.79% compared to Gauff’s 31.97%.
• When it comes to coping under pressure, Paolini has saved 48.41% of breakpoints against her, slightly better than Gauff’s 45.48%.
• Looking at overall match performance in the past year, Gauff has a higher win percentage at 78.46% compared to Paolini’s 67.8%.
• Both players excel on clay, with Gauff holding a career win percentage of 73% and Paolini at 64%. Who has the upper hand here? Given their statistics, Gauff seems to have a slight advantage.
• In recent high-level tournaments, Gauff's win rate is higher at Masters level, with 77.5%, whereas Paolini's win rate falls at 68.75% in the same category.
• Direct head-to-head match statistics show an even split, with each having won two matches out of four encounters.
• Over their past matches, Paolini has a slight edge by winning five of nine sets against Gauff, although Gauff has won the only deciding set they played.
• Does Paolini have an edge in tight situations? She’s won the only tiebreak they've played.
• Gauff often competes against stronger opponents, based on their average opponent ranking of 40.89 relative to Paolini’s 66.29.
• In deciding sets against all opponents over the past 12 months, Gauff excels with an 82% win rate, while Paolini has a 57% success rate.
• Gauff has the upper hand in more recent breakpoint conversion, with a rate of 44.84% against Paolini's 42.15%.

Editorial Prediction (August 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Gauff and Paolini is set to be closely contested, given their head-to-head history and individual strengths. While Paolini has shown better recent performance on her second serve and in tiebreaks, Gauff outshines in return games and has superior overall match win statistics over the past year.

Both players shine on clay, but Gauff's higher career win percentage on this surface suggests a favorable outcome for her in this match. Additionally, Gauff’s track record of playing against higher-ranked opponents may provide her with the experience advantage needed in high-pressure situations.

Despite Paolini’s strong performance under pressure and superior breakpoint save stats, Gauff’s exceptional record in deciding sets and slightly better conversion rate on breakpoint opportunities could tip the balance her way.

Considering these factors, Gauff is most likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.